Or not, but the chances are pretty darned good these days, as evidenced by recent opinions in two circuits holding that robbery is not a violent felony.
And since today marks day one of the new career-offender guideline, it seems like a good time to review some career-offender facts.
In 2015, 99.8% of career offenders were sentenced to imprisonment; the average career-offender sentence was 145 months; and 3/4 of career offenders were sentenced for drug trafficking (in raw numbers, that's over 1,500 drug traffickers sentenced as career offenders).
This last figure---and the fact that drug-trafficking-only career offenders are less likely to recidivate than other career offenders---has inspired the Sentencing Commission to recommend that Congress amend the career-offender directive so that it no longer includes those defendants "who currently qualify as career-offenders based solely on drug-trafficking offenses."
What's that? You've got one of those defendants scheduled for sentencing today, and you can't wait for the amendment? Use the findings in the recommendation to argue for a variance.
As for the rest of us, as Kirk Redmond has been telling everyone and anyone who will listen for the past year, when it comes to predicate offenses: